Nick Mordin is one of the most influential horse racing analysts of the modern era, bringing a data-driven, systematic approach to handicapping long before analytics became mainstream. His books have become essential reading for serious punters, blending deep statistical analysis with innovative strategies to uncover betting value.
1. Betting For a Living (1992):
Mordin’s first book, Betting For a Living, was groundbreaking. It detailed his experiences attempting to make a full-time income from betting, combining form analysis, speed figures, and value betting. Unlike traditional handicapping books, Mordin took a more scientific, systematic approach—testing theories rigorously and focusing on profitability rather than just picking winners. It was a breath of fresh air for punters who wanted to move beyond intuition and embrace data.
2. Mordin on Time (1996):
In Mordin on Time, he delved deeper into speed ratings, adapting and improving the methods of American analysts like Andrew Beyer for British and Irish racing. This book introduced a new way to assess horses’ true ability by stripping out misleading form lines and focusing on measurable performance metrics. He challenged conventional wisdom, demonstrating how track conditions, pace, and sectional timing could be used to gain an edge over the market.
3. Winning Without Thinking (2002):
Arguably his most famous book, Winning Without Thinking, is a masterclass in statistical modeling and alternative approaches to betting. Mordin explored unconventional angles—like trainer patterns, breeding statistics, and mechanical betting systems—showing that long-term profits could be achieved by applying disciplined, systematic strategies. This book remains a must-read for anyone looking to gain an analytical edge in racing.
Mordin’s Legacy:
Nick Mordin’s books revolutionized the way serious punters think about horse racing. His blend of logic, data, and fresh perspectives made him a pioneer in the field. Even though some of his ideas have been refined with modern data science, his core principles—quantifying performance, questioning conventional wisdom, and seeking value—remain as relevant as ever.
If you’re serious about betting, Mordin’s books aren’t just good reads—they’re essential.
Photo: JC 2025
